@Flowen231 said in New SG scratch rates.:
Rates are rounded.
Yeah the game only shows 4 decimal places (and it floors rather than rounds the last of those) but you can work out the literal rates from that (shown below). That precision doesn't change any of your nearest-unit rounding for the chances over 42 draws.
We might also consider 49 draws as Passionate Spirit lasted 7 weeks rather than 6, and this would take us into October 12th which is both a more middle-ground estimate for the Bouncer update in October and a possibly more likely date for new content as October 5th is on or shortly after the next ARKS Headline.
||1+ in 49 pulls
In other news, 52 of 118 items in this set (~44.07%) are new, making them a minority compared to the 66 (~55.93%) repeats.
But the newer items have a higher overall probability; every pull you have an 890 in 1547 (57.53%) chance of getting something new to ARKS Conductor.
Moreover, no item from a previous set has a better rate than any item from ARKS Conductor; all items new to ARKS Conductor are at least 16/1547, which is great news for Manon cosplayers in particular.